Get GBPUSD Market Update: Price Falls below 1.3500 for Hawkish Fed, BoE Cut Bets & UK Political Tensions

BySarah Thompson
GBPUSD falls below 1.3500 after hawkish Fed and BoE rate cut expectations, UK political tensions weigh on Pound Sterling with Bank of England backdrop and bearish chart.
Ultra-Compact Summary Section

Summary

  • Soft UK data accelerates BoE (Bank of England) rate cut bets
  • Hawkish Fed tone strengthens the US Dollar
  • GBPUSD price drops below 1.3500
  • Prince Andrew’s arrest news adds political uncertainty

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is under heavy pressure today as multiple risk factors hit the British Pound. The pair (GBPUSD) slipped below key technical averages, and UK political headlines have pushed the pair below the key 1.3500 level. CPI drop, unemployment rate rise, and recent political tensions are accelerating that the Bank of England (BoE) could begin cutting rates sooner than previously anticipated.

Why GBPUSD Pair Dropping Today

The Federal Reserve maintained a firm tone, suggesting inflation risks still require restrictive policy. This strengthens the US Dollar across major currency pairs. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped to 3% Year-on-Year (YoY) in January, and the unemployment rate rose to 5.2%.

These weaker UK inflation and labor data have strengthened expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) may begin cutting rates from the current 3.75% sooner. Lower rate expectations reduce the Pound’s appeal to investors seeking yield.

But today’s move is not just about central banks.

Fresh headlines surrounding the reported arrest of Prince Andrew on suspicion of misconduct in public office have added a layer of political uncertainty in the UK. While the economic impact may be indirect, political instability often weakens investor confidence, especially when the market is already in fragile conditions.

Market Sentiment Showing Clear Bearish Momentum

  • GBPUSD has broken below the 1.3500 psychological level
  • Price trades below the 50-day and 100-day moving averages
  • RSI on H1 and H4 charts shows strong bearish momentum
  • Next Bearish Target: 1.3300

Traders should keep a close eye on US Treasury yields because they are a key driver of US Dollar strength. If yields continue to rise, the Dollar may gain further support, putting more pressure on GBPUSD.

It is also important to follow UK political headlines and economic releases, as any new events could quickly affect the Pound.

Volatility is likely to increase during the US trading session, so risk management is essential. At the moment, short-term market sentiment favors the US Dollar.

Disclaimer: All information on this page is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to trade or invest. Readers should conduct their own research before making any financial decisions. SureShotFX and authors do not guarantee accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of these news updates and are not responsible for any losses or damages incurred.
About our author
Sarah Thompson
Sarah Thompson

Sarah Thompson is a professional Forex trader with over 7 years of experience in the financial markets. She specializes in Forex trading strategies, technical analysis, Gold and Indices market trends, risk management, and performance evaluation. Since joining SureShotFX in 2021, Sarah has authored numerous in-depth articles, reports, and insights for traders of all experience levels.